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1.
Transplantation proceedings ; 2023.
Article in English | EuropePMC | ID: covidwho-2293404

ABSTRACT

Background Kidney transplant recipients (KTRs) are at high risk from COVID-19, vaccination is significant efficacy to prevent and reduce the severity of infection. Omicron infections are less severe than previous strains, but breakthrough disease is more common, thus we conducted this study to observe the vaccine efficacy in our KTRs. Methods The surge Omicron variant since May 2022, we retrieved 365 KTRs at least their 1st dose of various COVID vaccines until June 30, 2022. KTRs (n=168) at least post 2nd vaccination to assess their outcomes until September 30, 2022, which was the time before open the border for tourism. Results The antibody response in KTRs after the 1st and 2nd dose SARS-CoV-2 vaccines demonstrated significant increase from the 1st dose (median: 0.4;IQR: 0.4-8.4 U/mL, P < 0.001) to the 2nd dose (median: 57.5;IQR: 0.4-799.2 U/mL), and the response rate rise from 32% to 65% (P < 0.001). SARS-CoV-2 infection was identified in 14/365 (3.8%) at least post 1st dose, and 7/187 (3.7%) at least 7 days beyond post 2nd dose. The majority of KTRs had a mild course but 3 (17%) were hospitalized due to pneumonia. Conclusions our data demonstrate lower response rate and anti-S titers after 2nd dose vaccination in KTRs than general population, but lower incidence of SARS-CoV-2 infection after vaccination during Omicron pandemic. The breakthrough infections found in ordinary vaccinated KTRs, however, we need to emphasize the importance of vaccination and boosters to prevent severe illness, hospitalizations, and death amongst those developing infection.

4.
J Formos Med Assoc ; 122(8): 766-775, 2023 Aug.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2254596

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: COVID-19 rebound is usually reported among patients experiencing concurrent symptomatic and viral rebound. But longitudinal viral RT-PCR results from early stage to rebound of COVID-19 was less characterized. Further, identifying the factors associated with viral rebound after nirmatrelvir-ritonavir (NMV/r) and molnupiravir may expand understanding of COVID-19 rebound. METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed clinical data and sequential viral RT-PCR results from COVID-19 patients receiving oral antivirals between April and May, 2022. Viral rebound was defined by the degree of viral load increase (ΔCt ≥ 5 units). RESULTS: A total of 58 and 27 COVID-19 patients taking NMV/r and molnupiravir, respectively, were enrolled. Patients receiving NMV/r were younger, had fewer risk factors for disease progression and faster viral clearance rate compared to those receiving molnupiravr (All P < 0.05). The overall proportion of viral rebound (n = 11) was 12.9%, which was more common among patients receiving NMV/r (10 [17.2%] vs. 1 [3.7%], P = 0.16). Of them, 5 patients experienced symptomatic rebound, suggesting the proportion of COVID-19 rebound was 5.9%. The median interval to viral rebound was 5.0 (interquartile range, 2.0-8.0) days after completion of antivirals. Initial lymphopenia (<0.8 × 109/L) was associated with viral rebound among overall population (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 5.34; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.33-21.71), and remained significant (aOR, 4.50; 95% CI, 1.05-19.25) even when patients receiving NMV/r were considered. CONCLUSION: Our data suggest viral rebound after oral antivirals may be more commonly observed among lymphopenic individuals in the context of SARS-CoV-2 Omicron BA.2 variant.


Subject(s)
Antiviral Agents , COVID-19 , Humans , Antiviral Agents/therapeutic use , Retrospective Studies , SARS-CoV-2
5.
Nurse Educ Pract ; 68: 103598, 2023 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2285934

ABSTRACT

AIM: Development and evaluation of the effectiveness of an online 5-week professional identity program among nursing students in clinical internship practice during the COVID-19 restrictions. BACKGROUND: Nurse professional identity is a strong predictor of career commitment. Clinical internship practice is a key stage when nursing students build and rebuild their professional identity. Meanwhile, the COVID-19 restrictions has strongly influenced the professional identity of nursing students as well as nursing education. A well-designed online professional identity program may contribute to nursing students who are in clinical internship practice developing positive professional identity during the COVID-19 restrictions. DESIGN: The study was a two-armed, randomised, controlled trial conducted and reported based on Consolidated Standards of Reporting Trials (CONSORT) 2010 guidelines. METHODS: A total of 111 nursing students undergoing clinical internship were randomised into an intervention group and a control group. The five-weekly session intervention was developed based on social identity theory and career self-efficacy theory. The primary outcomes were professional identity and professional self-efficacy and the second outcome was stress. Qualitative feedback was analysed by thematic analysis. Outcomes were assessed before and after the intervention and analysed using an intention-to-treat principle. RESULTS: The generalised linear model showed that group-by-time effects were significant for the total score of professional identity and three factors of professional self-image, social comparison and self-reflection and independence of career choice, with small effect sizes (Cohen's d from 0.38 to 0.48). Only one factor of the capacity of information collection and planning in professional self-efficacy was significant (Wald χ2 =0.4.82, P < 0.01) with a medium effect size (Cohen d=0.73). The group effect, time effect and group-by-time effect of stress were not significant. Three themes were: 'Gaining in professional identity, self-recognition and peer belonging'; 'Content, self-motivation and intervenor as participation facilitators'; and 'Combining offline and courses, setting group rules and building mutual trust as recommendations'. CONCLUSIONS: The online 5-week professional identity program effectively promoted the development of professional identity and the capacity for information collection and career planning but did not significantly relieve pressure during the internship.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Education, Nursing , Students, Nursing , Humans , COVID-19/epidemiology , Social Identification , Pandemics
6.
Nephrology (Carlton) ; 27(10): 787-794, 2022 Oct.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2232470

ABSTRACT

Peritoneal dialysis (PD) first policy has been established in Hong Kong since 1985. After 35 years of practice, the PD first policy in Hong Kong has influenced many countries around the world including governments, health ministries, nephrologists and renal nurses on the overall health policy structure and clinical practice in treating kidney failure patients using PD as an important dialysis modality. In 2021, the International Association of Chinese Nephrologists and the Hong Kong Society of Nephrology jointly held a symposium celebrating the 35 years of PD first policy in Hong Kong. In that symposium, experts and opinion leaders from around the world have shared their perspectives on how the PD first policy has grown and how it has affected PD and home dialysis practice globally. The advantages of PD during COVID-19 pandemic were highlighted and the use of telemedicine as an important adjunct was discussed in treating kidney failure patients to improve the overall quality of care. Barriers to PD and the need for sustainability of PD first policy were also emphasized. Overall, the knowledge awareness of PD as a home dialysis for patients, families, care providers and learners is a prerequisite for the success of PD first. A critical mass of PD regional hubs is needed for training and mentorship. Importantly, the alignment of policy and clinical goals are enablers of PD first program.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Kidney Failure, Chronic , Peritoneal Dialysis , COVID-19/epidemiology , Health Policy , Hong Kong/epidemiology , Humans , Kidney Failure, Chronic/diagnosis , Kidney Failure, Chronic/epidemiology , Kidney Failure, Chronic/therapy , Pandemics , Peritoneal Dialysis/adverse effects , Renal Dialysis
7.
Acta Pharmacol Sin ; 44(7): 1455-1463, 2023 Jul.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2221797

ABSTRACT

The continuous emergence of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) variants poses challenges to the effectiveness of neutralizing antibodies. Rational design of antibody cocktails is a realizable approach addressing viral immune evasion. However, evaluating the breadth of antibody cocktails is essential for understanding the development potential. Here, based on a replication competent vesicular stomatitis virus model that incorporates the spike of SARS-CoV-2 (VSV-SARS-CoV-2), we evaluated the breadth of a number of antibody cocktails consisting of monoclonal antibodies and bispecific antibodies by long-term passaging the virus in the presence of the cocktails. Results from over two-month passaging of the virus showed that 9E12 + 10D4 + 2G1 and 7B9-9D11 + 2G1 from these cocktails were highly resistant to random mutation, and there was no breakthrough after 30 rounds of passaging. As a control, antibody REGN10933 was broken through in the third passage. Next generation sequencing was performed and several critical mutations related to viral evasion were identified. These mutations caused a decrease in neutralization efficiency, but the reduced replication rate and ACE2 susceptibility of the mutant virus suggested that they might not have the potential to become epidemic strains. The 9E12 + 10D4 + 2G1 and 7B9-9D11 + 2G1 cocktails that picked from the VSV-SARS-CoV-2 system efficiently neutralized all current variants of concern and variants of interest including the most recent variants Delta and Omicron, as well as SARS-CoV-1. Our results highlight the feasibility of using the VSV-SARS-CoV-2 system to develop SARS-CoV-2 antibody cocktails and provide a reference for the clinical selection of therapeutic strategies to address the mutational escape of SARS-CoV-2.


Subject(s)
Antibodies, Bispecific , COVID-19 , Humans , SARS-CoV-2 , Combined Antibody Therapeutics , Neutralization Tests , Antibodies, Bispecific/therapeutic use , Antibodies, Neutralizing
8.
BMJ Glob Health ; 8(1)2023 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2193733

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: The COVID-19 vaccine donation process allegedly prioritised national interests over humanitarian needs. We thus examined how donors allocated vaccines by recipient country needs versus donor national interests and how such decisions varied across donation channels (bilateral vs COVAX with country earmarking) or exposure to foreign aid norms (membership status in the Development Assistance Committee-DAC). METHODS: We used the two-part regression model to examine how the probability of becoming a recipient country and the volume of vaccines received were associated with recipient countries' needs (disease burden and GDP per capita), donor countries' interests (bilateral trade volume and voting distance in the United Nations General Assembly) and recipient countries' population size. The analysis further interacted the determinants with channel and DAC status. RESULTS: Donors preferentially selected countries with higher disease burden, lower GDP per capita, closer trade relations, more different voting preferences, and smaller populations. Compared with bilateral arrangements, COVAX encouraged more needs-based considerations (lower GDP per capita), less interest-based calculus (more distant economic relations and voting preferences) and larger population size. Compared with the DAC counterparts, the non-DAC donors focused more on politically and economically aligned countries but also on less economically developed countries. As for the volume of vaccines donated, countries received more vaccines if they had tighter trade relations with donors, more different voting patterns than donors, and larger populations. COVAX was associated with raising the volumes of vaccines to politically distant countries, and non-DAC donors donated more to countries with stronger trade relations and political alignment. CONCLUSION: Donors consider both recipient needs and national interests when allocating COVID-19 vaccines. COVAX and DAC partially mitigated donors' focus on domestic interests. Future global health aid can similarly draw on multilateral and normative arrangements.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Vaccines , Humans , COVID-19 Vaccines , COVID-19/prevention & control , Developing Countries , International Cooperation
9.
Front Oncol ; 12: 944602, 2022.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2123434

ABSTRACT

We aimed to determine the pattern of delay and its effect on the short-term outcomes of total gastrectomy before and during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. Overlaid line graphs were used to visualize the dynamic changes in the severity of the pandemic, number of gastric cancer patients, and waiting time for a total gastrectomy. We observed a slightly longer waiting time during the pandemic (median: 28.00 days, interquartile range: 22.00-34.75) than before the pandemic (median: 25.00 days, interquartile range: 18.00-34.00; p = 0.0071). Moreover, we study the effect of delayed surgery (waiting time > 30 days) on short-term outcomes using postoperative complications, extreme value of laboratory results, and postoperative stay. In patients who had longer waiting times, we did not observe worse short-term complication rates (grade II-IV: 15% vs. 19%, p = 0.27; grade III-IV: 7.3% vs. 9.2%, p = 0.51, the short waiting group vs. the prolonged waiting group) or a higher risk of a longer POD (univariable: OR 1.09, 95% CI 0.80-1.49, p = 0.59; multivariable: OR 1.10, 95% CI 0.78-1.55, p = 0.59). Patients in the short waiting group, rather than in the delayed surgery group, had an increased risk of bleeding in analyses of laboratory results (plasma prothrombin activity, hemoglobin, and hematocrit). A slightly prolonged preoperative waiting time during COVID-19 pandemic might not influence the short-term outcomes of patients who underwent total gastrectomy.

10.
Journal of Intercultural Communication Research ; : 1-19, 2022.
Article in English | Taylor & Francis | ID: covidwho-2070032
11.
Frontiers in oncology ; 12, 2022.
Article in English | EuropePMC | ID: covidwho-2034543

ABSTRACT

We aimed to determine the pattern of delay and its effect on the short-term outcomes of total gastrectomy before and during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. Overlaid line graphs were used to visualize the dynamic changes in the severity of the pandemic, number of gastric cancer patients, and waiting time for a total gastrectomy. We observed a slightly longer waiting time during the pandemic (median: 28.00 days, interquartile range: 22.00–34.75) than before the pandemic (median: 25.00 days, interquartile range: 18.00–34.00;p = 0.0071). Moreover, we study the effect of delayed surgery (waiting time > 30 days) on short-term outcomes using postoperative complications, extreme value of laboratory results, and postoperative stay. In patients who had longer waiting times, we did not observe worse short-term complication rates (grade II–IV: 15% vs. 19%, p = 0.27;grade III–IV: 7.3% vs. 9.2%, p = 0.51, the short waiting group vs. the prolonged waiting group) or a higher risk of a longer POD (univariable: OR 1.09, 95% CI 0.80–1.49, p = 0.59;multivariable: OR 1.10, 95% CI 0.78–1.55, p = 0.59). Patients in the short waiting group, rather than in the delayed surgery group, had an increased risk of bleeding in analyses of laboratory results (plasma prothrombin activity, hemoglobin, and hematocrit). A slightly prolonged preoperative waiting time during COVID-19 pandemic might not influence the short-term outcomes of patients who underwent total gastrectomy.

12.
Materials Chemistry Frontiers ; 2022.
Article in English | Web of Science | ID: covidwho-2016867

ABSTRACT

Because of the prevalence of COVID-19, people are becoming increasingly aware of the importance of disinfection, which necessitates the development of convenient and efficient methods for inactivating pathogens. In this work, we report the application of three isoquinolinium-based aggregation-induced-emission-active photosensitizers (PSs) for photodynamic inactivation (PDI) of viruses at a low light intensity of 9 mW cm(-2). These three PSs could highly efficiently sensitize the production of reactive oxygen species and are applied to PDI of viruses. Their inactivation effects on viruses are evaluated by checking the cytopathic effect through examining the morphology of their host cells, investigating their protein expression in host cells by Western blot, immunofluorescence imaging of the viral proteins in host cells, quantifying the viral RNA levels after infection, and viral titering-median tissue culture infectious dose (TCID50) assay. The experimental results obtained clearly demonstrate the excellent PDI effect of these three PSs on viruses. Besides, we also explore the feasibility of employing these PSs for PDI of viruses on simulated high-touch surfaces, such as stainless steel and glass slides, on which these PSs demonstrate an even better PDI effect on all the three tested viruses. The PDI method described in this work is expected to innovate the disinfection practice in public areas.

13.
J Multidiscip Healthc ; 15: 1901-1908, 2022.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2009780

ABSTRACT

Introduction: Air pollution is a novel environmental risk factor for chronic kidney disease (CKD). Air quality improved during COVID-19 lockdowns; however, the effects of these lockdowns on PM2.5 concentrations and renal function remain unclear. Methods: We conducted a retrospective cohort study to compare air pollution and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) decline in patients with stage 5 CKD between a year-long period of lockdown (2020; n = 724) and a similar period before lockdown (2019, n = 758). Results: Compared with 2019, a 17.5% reduction in the average PM2.5 concentration (from 17.36% to 14.32%; P < 0.001) and a 45.1% reduction (from 20.56% to 11.25%; P < 0.001) in cumulative days with PM2.5 concentration >35 µg/m3 were noted in 2020. Moreover, a 93% reduction in PM2.5 air quality index >150 per station-day (from 0.43% to 0.03%) was observed in 2020. From 2019 to 2020, the yearly incidence of eGFR decline ≥5 mL/min/1.73 m2 decreased by 33.7% (24.6% vs 16.3%; P < 0.001). Similarly, the proportion of patients who started undergoing regular dialysis also decreased by 32.7% in 2020 (from 20.8% to 14.0%; P = 0.001). Conclusion: Our findings suggest that fewer events of renal function decline during the COVID-19 pandemic may be associated with a decline in PM2.5 concentrations, supporting the global strategy of reducing air pollution to prevent CKD progression.

14.
Biologicals ; 79: 31-37, 2022 Sep.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2003881

ABSTRACT

The conventional PCR remains a valuable method to detect the newly emergent coronavirus rapidly and accurately. Our investigation aimed to establish the standard materials of SARS-CoV-2 for NAAT detection. We provided formalin-inactivated SARS-CoV-2 and confirmed RNA copy numbers. In addition, the virus genome was confirmed with whole-genome sequencing and identified as Wuhan/WI04/2019. Seven laboratories were invited for this collaborative study, according to the reporting data, we determined the SARS-CoV-2 with the unit of 6.35 Log10 copies/mL as the national standard. The availability of the national standard (NS) of SARS-CoV-2 will facilitate the standardization and harmonization of SARS-CoV-2 NAAT assays.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , RNA, Viral , COVID-19/diagnosis , Formaldehyde , Humans , Polymerase Chain Reaction/methods , RNA, Viral/genetics , SARS-CoV-2/genetics , Taiwan
15.
Int J Environ Res Public Health ; 19(11)2022 05 25.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1924230

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to visualize the evidence in the global research on health education to better improve the nation's health literacy and to guide future research. METHOD: We searched the Web of Science (Core Collection) electronic databases. The search strategies: topic: ("Health Education" OR "Education, Health" OR "Community Health Education" OR "Education, Community Health" OR "Health Education, Community") AND document: (Article) AND language:(English). Articles of evidence from January 2011 to December 2021 with those words in the title or abstract or keywords will be included in this review. We used the Citespace 5.6.R5 (64-bit) to investigate and determine the thematic patterns, and emerging trends of the knowledge domain, and presented a narrative account of the findings. RESULT: We analyzed 10,273 eligible articles. It showed that BMC Public Health displays the most prolific journals. Author MARCO PAHOR is highlighted in health education. The University of Sydney has published the most studies about health education. The USA plays an important role in these studies. Specifically, the visualization shows several hotspots: disease prevalence surveys and a specific population of knowledge, attitude and practice surveys, health intervention, chronic and non-communicable management, youth-health action, sexual and reproductive health, and physical activity promotion. Furthermore, document co-citation analysis indicated that there are 10 main clusters, which means the research front in health education. Meanwhile, by the citation detected, COVID-19, has achieved universal health coverage in related studies, however, public health education and the health workforce might be more popular in the coming years. CONCLUSION: Health education is an effective measure to shift the concept of public health and improve healthy living standards. The present study facilitates an extensive understanding of the basic knowledge and research frontiers that are pivotal for the developmental process of health education and allows scholars to visualize the identification modes and tendencies.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Adolescent , Forecasting , Health Education , Humans , Knowledge , Publications
16.
International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health ; 19(11):6440, 2022.
Article in English | MDPI | ID: covidwho-1857050

ABSTRACT

Objectives: This study aimed to visualize the evidence in the global research on health education to better improve the nation's health literacy and to guide future research. Method: We searched the Web of Science (Core Collection) electronic databases. The search strategies: topic: ('Health Education';OR 'Education, Health';OR 'Community Health Education';OR 'Education, Community Health';OR 'Health Education, Community';) AND document: (Article) AND language:(English). Articles of evidence from January 2011 to December 2021 with those words in the title or or keywords will be included in this review. We used the Citespace 5.6.R5 (64-bit) to investigate and determine the thematic patterns, and emerging trends of the knowledge domain, and presented a narrative account of the findings. Result: We analyzed 10,273 eligible articles. It showed that BMC Public Health displays the most prolific journals. Author MARCO PAHOR is highlighted in health education. The University of Sydney has published the most studies about health education. The USA plays an important role in these studies. Specifically, the visualization shows several hotspots: disease prevalence surveys and a specific population of knowledge, attitude and practice surveys, health intervention, chronic and non-communicable management, youth-health action, sexual and reproductive health, and physical activity promotion. Furthermore, document co-citation analysis indicated that there are 10 main clusters, which means the research front in health education. Meanwhile, by the citation detected, COVID-19, has achieved universal health coverage in related studies, however, public health education and the health workforce might be more popular in the coming years. Conclusion: Health education is an effective measure to shift the concept of public health and improve healthy living standards. The present study facilitates an extensive understanding of the basic knowledge and research frontiers that are pivotal for the developmental process of health education and allows scholars to visualize the identification modes and tendencies.

17.
Nat Microbiol ; 7(5): 716-725, 2022 05.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1852420

ABSTRACT

Emerging SARS-CoV-2 variants continue to cause waves of new infections globally. Developing effective antivirals against SARS-CoV-2 and its variants is an urgent task. The main protease (Mpro) of SARS-CoV-2 is an attractive drug target because of its central role in viral replication and its conservation among variants. We herein report a series of potent α-ketoamide-containing Mpro inhibitors obtained using the Ugi four-component reaction. The prioritized compound, Y180, showed an IC50 of 8.1 nM against SARS-CoV-2 Mpro and had oral bioavailability of 92.9%, 31.9% and 85.7% in mice, rats and dogs, respectively. Y180 protected against wild-type SARS-CoV-2, B.1.1.7 (Alpha), B.1.617.1 (Kappa) and P.3 (Theta), with EC50 of 11.4, 20.3, 34.4 and 23.7 nM, respectively. Oral treatment with Y180 displayed a remarkable antiviral potency and substantially ameliorated the virus-induced tissue damage in both nasal turbinate and lung of B.1.1.7-infected K18-human ACE2 (K18-hACE2) transgenic mice. Therapeutic treatment with Y180 improved the survival of mice from 0 to 44.4% (P = 0.0086) upon B.1.617.1 infection in the lethal infection model. Importantly, Y180 was also highly effective against the B.1.1.529 (Omicron) variant both in vitro and in vivo. Overall, our study provides a promising lead compound for oral drug development against SARS-CoV-2.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 Drug Treatment , SARS-CoV-2 , Angiotensin-Converting Enzyme 2 , Animals , Antiviral Agents/pharmacology , Antiviral Agents/therapeutic use , Disease Models, Animal , Dogs , Humans , Mice , Rats
18.
Risk Manag Healthc Policy ; 15: 805-815, 2022.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1817761

ABSTRACT

Veterans are a special population that has been largely ignored during the corona virus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. Veterans with COVID-19 not only suffered symptoms from the disease but also had a higher risk of further development of in-hospital complications involving multiple organs. This article aims to review the current literature on the epidemiology, risk factors, diagnosis, clinical presentation, treatment, and outcome in veterans who contracted COVID-19 during the pandemic, using papers published between January 1, 2020 and August 1, 2021. Forty published papers were considered relevant to this review study. The COVID-19 pandemic not only caused a burden on health-care facilities but also affected the veterans population. Veterans with COVID-19 not only suffered symptoms from the disease but also had a higher risk of further development of in-hospital complications involving multiple organs. The dismal outcome might be attributed to old age and multiple comorbidities among veterans. Symptoms that may be seen in veterans with COVID-19 are comparable to those in the general population with fever, cough, and dyspnea, the most commonly reported. There are several approaches, such as self-assessment tools and virtual or telephone triage strategies, that can initially provide adequate evaluation of the symptoms related to COVID-19 in veterans. Adequate risk stratification could be carried out using the VA COVID-19 (VACO) Index, which predicts the risk of 30-day all-cause mortality after COVID-19 infection. There are several COVID-19 specific treatments that have been given to veterans; however, none of them have been proven to reduce the overall mortality in veterans. The overall mortality rate among veterans showed a declining trend. However, veterans suffering from chronic COVID-19 are at risk of dependence on activities of daily living after recovering from the illness. In summary, veterans are a special population that requires more attention especially during the COVID-19 pandemic.

20.
Mathematics ; 10(5):824, 2022.
Article in English | ProQuest Central | ID: covidwho-1736981

ABSTRACT

In December 2019, Severe Special Infectious Pneumonia (SARS-CoV-2)–the novel coronavirus (COVID-19)– appeared for the first time, breaking out in Wuhan, China, and the epidemic spread quickly to the world in a very short period time. According to WHO data, ten million people have been infected, and more than one million people have died;moreover, the economy has also been severely hit. In an outbreak of an epidemic, people are concerned about the final number of infections. Therefore, effectively predicting the number of confirmed cases in the future can provide a reference for decision-makers to make decisions and avoid the spread of deadly epidemics. In recent years, the α-Sutte indicator method is an excellent predictor in short-term forecasting;however, the α-Sutte indicator uses fixed static weights. In this study, by adding an error-based dynamic weighting method, a novel β-Sutte indicator is proposed. Combined with ARIMA as an ensemble model (βSA), the forecasting of the future COVID-19 daily cumulative number of cases and the number of new cases in the US are evaluated from the experiment. The experimental results show that the forecasting accuracy of βSA proposed in this study is better than other methods in forecasting with metrics MAPE and RMSE. It proves the feasibility of adding error-based dynamic weights in the β-Sutte indicator in the area of forecasting.

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